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Gold Price Forecast 2026: Could It Reach $6,300 Per Ounce?

Published On: February 18, 2026
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Gold Price Forecast 2026: Could It Reach $6,300 Per Ounce?

Global financial giant JPMorgan Chase has released a new market outlook predicting that gold prices could climb to $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026.

If this forecast materializes, it would mark a historic surge in gold prices and significantly impact international and local bullion markets — including Pakistan.

Why Is Gold Expected to Rise?

According to the report, two key factors are driving the bullish outlook:

1️⃣ Strong Central Bank Buying

Central banks around the world are increasingly:

  • Diversifying foreign exchange reserves

  • Reducing reliance on paper assets

  • Increasing allocation to physical gold

JPMorgan estimates that global central bank gold purchases could reach around 800 tons in 2026.

This sustained demand can create upward pressure on international prices.

2️⃣ Rising Investor Interest

Investors are turning toward gold as a:

  • Safe-haven asset

  • Hedge against inflation

  • Protection during geopolitical uncertainty

Whenever global economic risks rise, gold demand typically strengthens.

What About Silver?

JPMorgan has taken a more cautious view on silver.

The report notes that:

  • Silver previously touched $122 per ounce

  • It has now declined to around $76 per ounce

  • Expected trading range: $75 to $80 per ounce

Unlike gold, silver does not benefit from strong and consistent central bank buying support. As a result, its price outlook remains more stable rather than sharply bullish.

What This Means for Pakistan

Gold prices in Pakistan are directly linked to:

  • International gold rates

  • Dollar exchange rate

  • Local demand and supply

If global prices rise toward $6,300 per ounce:

  • Local gold rates per tola could surge significantly

  • Jewelry prices may increase

  • Investment demand could rise

  • Wedding season buyers may face higher costs

Similarly, fluctuations in silver prices also affect local bullion traders.

Is $6,300 Realistic?

While the forecast is ambitious, such projections depend on:

  • Global inflation trends

  • Interest rate policies

  • US dollar strength

  • Geopolitical tensions

  • Central bank accumulation levels

Forecasts are not guarantees — they reflect potential scenarios based on current trends.

Should Investors Be Concerned?

For Pakistani investors:

  • Gold is traditionally considered a safe investment

  • Many households prefer physical gold over financial instruments

  • Rising prices benefit existing holders but challenge new buyers

Anyone considering investment should carefully evaluate:

  • Market volatility

  • Exchange rate movement

  • Long-term economic outlook

Hamza Ali

Hamza Ali is an experienced writer contributing to the cdldta.pk platform. With a strong background in government projects and infrastructure development, his work focuses on bringing attention to the impact of public sector initiatives.